Winksite Conversations

Charlie Schick posted about some of the stuff going on at Winksite. I’ve posted about tying together the mobile and desktop versions, and I think the embeddable widget is a great move. There are some quirks still, like all the chatrooms in California appear to be in Los Angeles if you drill down on the Metro tab. But the idea here is really solid. It pulls together horizontal slices through all the sites, which lets you find an active chat room without having to go through all the different individual areas. Definitely a good thing. I’ll have to spend some more time playing around with it. I like the map they have there. Winksite was way out in front in terms of location services. Ever since I first spoke with Dave almost 2 years ago every Winksite has had location info and every post has options for geo info. With the Google maps interfaces allowing people to shove their own info into a rich interface there’s a lot more info in consuming geoannotated info. Hopefully that’ll force through the demand for annoted content, and we’ll see some actual location services from carriers.

Great job Dave and Jason! This looks like a fantastic bit of work.

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Social Software Going Mobile

I moderated a panel on social software last week and got to talk to a bunch of interesting people, both on the panel and in the audience. I just want to get down a bunch of the stuff we spoke about, so here’s a random sampling of the ideas:

  • We started out saying that social software represents a fundamental shift in the way people communicate, and that most folks over 25 just don’t understand the ways that the next generation of users are putting together their set of tools. I don’t think that people over 25 “can’t get it”, but I can agree that most aren’t in sync with the way that those under 25 think about organizing their lives online. This is an important point though, and we’re gonna come back to it
  • There was also some discussion about the role of social software in the overall industry. Facebook for example is a media site in the mind of Kevin Efrusy, who was involved in funding their investment. “Media site” in this context means a service that makes money primarily off of advertisements or referral partnerships. This obviously isn’t always the case however. Craig Callé from COMMON.net sells social software to enterprises, and obviously there no ad revenue there. There was some discussion of premium services, would people pay for social networking features ever? Or would the public sites always be forced to pursue advertising as a primary source of revenue? Pursuing a revue model based entirely in advertising can be very dangerous. Most investors won’t fund an idea with that kind of model. If something happens to spook users and scare them off your site can tank pretty quick.
  • There was also plenty of talk about APIs, and the unbundling of data and service that’s becoming more and more popular. Everyone was pretty happy about an increased number of APIs available from all kinds of services. Not everyone was convinced that the mashups really are all that interesting, but I think there was pretty much universal applause of the proliferation of APIs. Everyone was pretty supportive of grassroots formats as well, stuff like microformats.
  • There was also universal disapproval for carriers and the US cellular market in general. Everyone thought there was huge potential, but the environment just isn’t right yet to be able to deliver applications to users without getting crippled somewhere along the line. And even if you end up getting your application out you end up losing most of your revenue to the carriers (or someone else in the delivery chain). Anu from PartySync was following the model of keeping the mobile end of their service unmonetized and making money off their affiliated sites.

I’m a mobile booster definitely, so I always pay attention when people say that there’s potential in mobile but the environment isn’t setup to deliver on it yet. We’ve been hearing it for years, and it’s always sad to hear. Cause it’s true, the mobile environment sucks right now. But one persons roadblock is another persons opportunity. So of course I always try to think of the ways to deliver applications without getting fucked over. You could just grit your teeth and pay the horrendous fees to carriers and take your tiny paycheck hoping that your service gets big enough that you can make a living off of it. However the problem there is that it just contributes to the funding that the carrier has for later on when they decide they want to fight you for those profits.

For a long time I’ve been hoping that WiFi would provide the forcing function that would finally get the carriers to treat their networks like the data networks that they are. I’m still waiting for that however, and although I know something will force the carriers to accept reality I’m not sure we can count on WiFi to do it. By the way, some carriers are planning already for what happens in 3 years, when they assume that voice and data will merge and they no longer get to base payment on their split price model for traffic. I wonder why they haven’t come to terms with data services. Lately I’ve been thinking a lot about how to make data transmission as a whole viral. It seems to be one of the few ways to get around the restrictions to what you can do to your service – figure out how to give so much control to your users that restrictions on your service no longer matter. So what are some of the ways to do that:

  • When you send a message to a user, especially one with a link or some actionable item, they should be able to forward that along to whoever they want and assume that the message with remain actionable.
  • As much as possible allow for changing modes of interaction. If you allow SMS interaction, and email, and website, and IM, and whatever else – the user should be able to switch back and forth between those modes easily. The “send to phone” stuff from Yahoo is a great example. It’s a continuation sent into another platform. Horribly geeky, but your users don’t have to know that. They just see it as relatively seamless switching, which is good. It would be great to see the inverse too. After you’ve sent to phone you could say something like “mark this spot” from your handset, and return to the location when desktop browsing.
  • Expose APIs, for everything. The most definite way to make sure that all the value that can be delivered is getting delivered is to make sure that all the content is available to anyone who would want to deliver it. That’s why I think mashups are a good thing, they’re an example of incremental increases in value by a third party. Not necessarily innovative in and of themselves, the model is inline with what we want to see. Make sure that your terms of service allow people to do interesting things without fear of retribution. If someone ships a web tablet that hooks up to WiFi in order to get around the carriers, I want them to be able to bake my service right into their ROM. Damn right I do. They’re welcome to take just about anything they want too, as long as they’re driving more incremental montizable revenue to me than they’re consuming in resources to process their requests.
  • Look to the under 25 year old crowd to find out how their form their adhoc collectives. Not that folks over 25 won’t be into it also, but the under 25 crowd tends to use their mobile in a different way and they have some good patterns to replicate. Allow them to share something that’s personal on your site and you might find the kind of grassroots uptake that allows your application or service to spread without carrier support. But first you have to figure out what it is that they really want to do. Not what they say when you ask them, that’s something different. Complement and support their desired mode of interaction and you won’t be able to keep from spreading.
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OSDL Mobile Linux Initiative

The OSDL is supposed to be launching an initiative to bring Linux to mobile phones on Monday. Fantastic news! The article does a good job of outlining some of the technical challenges. Power management under Linux has been something that could be improved on for a long time, and combining the need for power management with the need to show realtime OS response times could present some tough challenges. The Linux kernel group is also an idealistic bunch. They tend to hold out for something that satisfies all the requirements instead of tossing any old feature into the mainline kernel. Sometimes that forces the evolution of some really unique solutions. I think there’s room for a ton of improvement in terms of mobile OSes, and having the Linux kernel evolve in that direction would spark the kind of innovation I think we need.

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Call Me a Sucker, But….

PhoneScoop posted about three new Nokia phones from the business line. I’ve been wanting a Series 60 with a flip open keyboard, and along comes the E70:

A flip-open QWERTY keyboard phone similar to Nokia’s 6800 series. Features include a 352×416-pixel display, 2 megapixel camera with CIF-resolution video capture, USB 2.0, miniSD slot, and Wi-Fi 802.11g/e/i. Available in a GSM/EDGE 850/1800/1900 version for the Americas, plus a 3G version for Europe and Asia.

Holy jeebus, 2 megapixel camera AND Wifi! That has the potential to kick some major ass. I’m gonna have to get my hands on one of those things ASAP.

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New Symbian Tools?

I got a Forum Nokia newsletter saying that there are new tools available for Symbian. W00t! But all I could find on the Forum Nokia site was a datasheet, which took me back to http://www.forum.nokia.com/carbide. No tools. A search on the site for “carbide” brings up… the datasheet and that’s it. Umm. Is this a prerelease announcing the plan for the tools? Or are the tools really available somewhere? For a site dedicated to providing developer info Forum Nokia hasn’t been doing too well lately in my book.

Update: Found it. This is from the press release:

The entry-level Carbide.c++ Express tool will be available for free download in the first quarter of 2006 at Forum Nokia, UIQ, Symbian and Symbian licensee websites.

That would actually have been an excellent thing to either put into the newsletter or on the information page at Forum Nokia. It’s too late for the newsletter, but not too late to put it on the page. The magic of the web!

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October Mobile Monday: Search

Our October event was last night at Google. An astounding group of somewhere around 300 people showed up. I have a bunch of images posted from the event. Special thanks to Jeff Clavier and Dave McClure for their help in setting things up!

Some bits and peices of information from the panel discussion:

  • Right now the revenue that comes from data services style searches on carrier networks pales in comparison to the revenue that carriers make off 411 calls. There are somewhere around a billion 411 calls placed with an average rate of $1.20 to $1.50. This is a billion and a half dollar revenue stream. Carriers don’t really care about data service searches given that current income from 411. Poor doomed fools. General opinion from discussions I had was that carries will figure out that there’s an evolution going on once it’s already happened, but because no one can disintermediate them they get to just roll late to the party and collect all the money. Ahh. Yes, carriers are the way to the future. Once we drag them out of century old thinking they’ll help make all of our lives better.
  • One of the hot areas of mobile search is mixing in content from the carrier portfolio with general search results. Cause, well, it makes the carriers more money if their ringtones and wallpapers show up at the top of results listings. And everyone loves carriers, right? I was mostly underwhelmed, and partially disappointed.
  • There was some talk about the different modalities of interface, the capability you can provide with an SMS based search vs a WAP site vs a custom client in Java. This applies pretty much everwhere, but search is one of those applications that actually transforms well into an SMS style interaction. Sending a query to a shortcode and getting back a result set containing information and links to dive further is pretty decent. However, it’s still way outside of the behavior we expect from your average mobile phone using mom and pop. In order to provide a service that folks can find you have to exist on the handset in some easy to navigate way. Which once again turns back to carrier deals, which eventually just sputters out and goes nowhere.
  • Lots of talk about making search simpler. Incremental improvements to shave clicks and screen loads off of getting the user to what they want. The UI issue is always worth adressing, just about everywhere. There was some mention of using voice as the driver for data search instead of the keyboard. And some mention of using past user data to figure out where people might be and what they might be searching for. Someone brought up that when you sign up for an account with a carrier you actually give them permission to peek at your data usage so that they can market to you better. They’re within their rights to watch the sites you surf to while on your mobile and use that information to tune your search. Interesting point, I didn’t know that. The use of context overall is a decent idea, one which we’re still seeing play out on the Internet side of the house. There are problems with context, but some of them might actually be solved by the highly personal nature of the average cellphone.

An interesting panel, even if it was rather discouraging in terms of business environment overall. The carriers rule your puny world with an iron fist – developers, service providers, and end users. For some reason folks who I would expect to want to do something about that just smile and nod and say “Yep, it’s all about the carriers, might as well accept it”. Fortunately, I can not. So what’s to be done about mobile search being relative shit but needing to pay off carriers in order to fix that? The number one option is coming up with some alternative to the carriers in order to provide wide area wireless access to people. There are lots of issues with that, but there are lots of issues with the system the way that it is. I simply don’t buy the “there’s no way to compete with carriers” argument. It most often comes from people in bed with the carriers and with a business model based on that to protect, so I’m going to ignore it. What are the issues with getting a competing network out there?

  • Infrastructure buildout as a whole – Independent of whatever the technology is you want to deliver this network via, you need access points attached to power and network uplinks. Costly. Difficult to maintain. Lots of regulatory issues.
  • Truely mobile devices – You need lots of devices suitable for use by “the average person” which attach to this network. The devices need to do seemless handoff from access point to access point like the existing carrier networks do, operated with one hand, simple, reliable, battery operated, produced in massive numbers.
  • Voice support – Calling from/to the new network has to be completely transparent. Completely. Really. It does.

So, putting the Google wireless news together with the voice support in the Google Talk client one has to wonder if this is what Google is going after? Is there a device in the works somewhere?

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Nokia Concepts Roundup

Phonemag has a great set of posts about the entries into the concept cell phone contest that Nokia runs:

  • Acibo – recharge it by bouncing it, that could cause a lot of problems.
  • Aki – I like the party gesture, hehehehe.
  • SURV1 – Check out the picture on the second page to get an idea of how it would be carried.
  • Colores – revenge of the funky keypad! It’s got a two tethered component design like the Nintendo Revolution controller, is this gonna be some kind of new trend?
  • Global Nomads – I’m a little confused by this one. Where’s the interface?
  • More concept pictures
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Personifying the Mobile Device

I just read Personifying the Mobile Device (hat tip John Kern). It’s a post that pulls together a great set of recent conversations I had caught bits and peices of, and lays them down amazingly. As a sidenote, I’ve been calling cell phones mobile devices and laptops portable devices, it’s a distinction that I think works out pretty well. Although it is subtle it helps shape the conversations when you can talk about mobile vs portable computing. I love all the personification points in there, and the technique of using personification to define the role of a technology. This is the bit I want to pick up on however:

With the many functions that can be developed for mobile devices, we can personify the mobile phone and list some possible roles for it. Some roles are better done on a laptop than on a mobile, and vice versa, but the experience should be seamless and you should be able to pick up on one where you left off on the other. With the advent and rise of web services, online storage and wi-fi access, we will essentially be able to perform the same functions and access the same information through a mobile device, as through a laptop.

And harp on that point I always harp on, a seemless environment from Internet to mobile network. I think this vision is fantastic, I would love to blend work from my mobile and work from my laptop and desktop into one fluid set of actions and activities. However the infrastructure to deploy applications is always restricted by the high barrier to interact across the carrier/Internet boundary. There has to be a way for something happening out on the Internet to let my phone know about an event I need to pay attention to. SMS, of course. But what if I’m running a site like SourceForge and looking to notify owners of applications about security concerns posted to their projects? Am I going to absorb the cost of messaging into the mobile network? Not too likely at the prices currently set. I can setup a complex credit and payment account system, and establish a relationship with an aggregator so that developers can pay for the messages they want sent to them. But the developers are already paying for the messages when they receive them (In the US at least, yes, we pay for inbound SMS. Don’t ask, I have no idea why or how that could ever be accepted by the consumers), they’re not going to pay to get messages sent and then pay to receive them. Support for SIP and UMA announced for upcoming handsets I hope will move us somewhat in the right direction. But notice what’s happening here. The Internet has a pretty decent ability to route around dammage, and with the support of UMA as a necessary technology I think we’re saying that cellular networks are effectively a dammaged part of the Internet that needs to be routed around.

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Moderating a Panel on Mobile Social Software

I’m moderating a panel on mobile social software Thursday Oct 13. Should be very interesting. On the one hand, there’s a ton of hype surrounding mobile social software. But I think there’s a lot of hype because there really is a lot of potential. What needs to be done to fulfill on the promise of mobile social software? What areas are in most dire need of improvement if the industry is to move forward? If you’ve got particular issues you would like to see us hit leave me a comment here, I’ll try to work it in.

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ACM Event : The Future of Mobile & Wireless

John Kern posted about an upcoming event at the ACM titled The Future of Mobile & Wireless. The event page is here :The Future of Mobile & Wireless. For some background info on J. Gerry Purdy check out these:

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