At first I was giving him the benefit of doubt, but after seeing the demand on number of iphone projects on my backlog. I think he is wrong on this one.

I am originally from Asia, Indonesia. Even blackberry and featured phone (BREW) start to get some competition from iphone and ipad. Android pushed down the cost of the handset.

Future will be between Android and iPhone. Smartphone all the way.

Try researching some of those 97%. An example I can repeat any time I want
“Do you use browse the internet on your phone?”
“Oh… no.”
“Do you ever look up the weather?”
“Yes.”
“Do you access facebook from your phone?”
“Yes.”
“Do you check out sports scores?”
“Yes.”
Etc. Not every time, for everyone, but a lot. And a lot of analytics packages are poor at understanding the market also, so you have to understand how the aggregated data is gathered to get to the real numbers as well.

In short, and I am pretty sure core to everything Tomi says, is that mindshare is not marketshare. Just because bloggers, pundits and analysist use something doesn’t make it universally true. As Bryan Rieger recently said “My backyard doesn’t have elephants, space shuttles or Indonesians surfing the mobile web… that doesn’t mean they don’t exist.”